Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 5.899251 6.474573 7.107815 7.861491 8.740653 9.742032 10.980904
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.077880 5.863739 6.799493 8.016163 9.587851 11.596976 14.443228
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.482713 5.335849 6.401643 7.867907 9.896632 12.713032 17.142054
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.099560 4.994863 6.156023 7.827885 10.277934 13.934530 20.273385
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.757631 4.658895 5.861452 7.655290 10.408087 14.772215 23.016583
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.523806 4.438729 5.691693 7.623664 10.722759 15.940505 26.728857
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.324697 4.245220 5.534575 7.581638 10.999697 17.087977 30.851058
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.216791 4.167911 5.533096 7.771773 11.683686 19.128722 37.940826
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.015086 3.939930 5.286561 7.537740 11.581853 19.605304 41.432998
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.830908 3.725370 5.043375 7.282637 11.401421 19.875020 44.529787
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.688505 3.563720 4.869376 7.125523 11.380614 20.486129 49.072908
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.576545 3.440834 4.746713 7.043424 11.491387 21.424612 55.427288
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.555616 3.462479 4.867166 7.425664 12.654633 25.432196 78.769031
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.483442 3.402050 4.852496 7.568103 13.365297 28.657289 105.760855
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.367529 3.265295 4.699714 7.431967 13.429216 30.071065 126.377375
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.279462 3.167298 4.604508 7.395199 13.717244 32.333651 160.944497
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.178666 3.043195 4.455723 7.236545 13.682850 33.530615 192.243465
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.106758 2.962028 4.375691 7.207458 13.967780 36.041205 254.665480
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.038862 2.883781 4.295303 7.168798 14.222275 38.614755 345.387484
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.007144 2.863398 4.316012 7.343635 15.089682 44.377046 623.205300
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.922513 2.750489 4.162339 7.128407 14.825154 44.859988 764.775024
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.840400 2.638697 4.005239 6.893497 14.470176 44.773814 902.820750
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.775471 2.553528 3.892914 6.748659 14.359903 45.938003 1230.059023